← MVP x Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at MVP x Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
44.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1293
· median 1293
· range 1204–1383
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1135
Q3 1341
1532
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.3 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 12.5% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 39.2% | -8.0 |
